Finally Some Signs of Recovery

IT MAY BE TOO SOON TO CELEBRATE, but fourth-quarter financial results among the publicly traded business-to-business and computer products merchants tracked by Multichannel Merchant suggest the beginning of an economic recovery.

Of the 11 profiled companies, eight showed revenue gains and six recorded bottom line improvements. The average revenue increases were 5.8% and 2.2% for the b-to-b and computer product segments, respectively.

Reported earnings in the two segments varied dramatically in the fourth quarter, however. While the b-to-b merchants tracked saw an average increase in net income of 32.8% over the prior period, the computer products segment saw mixed earnings reports. For instance, PC Mall’s income fell 91.6%, Wayside Technology stayed flat, Black Box Corp. gained 12.1% and PC Connection posted positive earnings after a loss in the prior period.

“Consumer and business spending has begun to show a tentative return, illustrated by the mixed sales results,” says Stuart Rose, managing director for investment firm Tully & Holland. “The dramatic fluctuation in earnings in both segments is a product of each company’s financial position a year ago, and the actions they have taken since then to improve operating efficiencies.”

Maintenance repair and operations supplies merchant MSC Industrial Direct Co. registered an 11.1% sales loss for the quarter, while wireless communications marketer Tessco Technologies saw its sales rise nearly 26%, to nearly $150 million for the period. What’s more, Tessco’s bottom line soared 134%.

Henry Schein’s sales rose 13%, while net income jumped 54%. Last year’s fourth-quarter numbers for the healthcare products and services provider included restructuring and discontinued operations; plus, this year international sales were particularly strong.

Also, Henry Schein’s fourth quarter last year included a $7 million loss from discounted operations related to exiting a wholesale ultrasound business. With no similar loss this year, net income jumped, Rose says.

What does the future hold? Quarter-over-quarter comparisons will be more dramatic over economically volatile time frames, Rose says. “As consumers and businesses show pockets of renewed spending, we would expect to continue to see mixed financial results from the b-to-b and computer products segments for at least the next two quarters.”

The economy as a whole will continue a slow recovery, he says, “with a growth rate adjusting lower as the large impact of inventory purchasing will diminish going forward.”

REVENUE NET INCOME (LOSS)
Company 12 months prior Current quarter Increase (decrease) 12 months prior Current quarter Increase (decrease)
($000) ($000)
Black Box Corp. 261,853 253,385 (3%) 9,827 11,019 12%
Deluxe Corp. 364,900 340,300 (7%) 27,900 30,500 9%
Henry Schein 1,581,179 1,786,081 13% 55,959 86,408 54%
MSC Industrial Direct 433,022 384,817 (11%) 45,095 31,420 (30%)
PC Connection 439,113 463,121 5% (2,709) 3,967 NM
PC Mall 334,298 337,000 1% 984 83 (92%)
Sport Supply Group 53,175 55,529 4% 1,052 922 (12%)
Systemax 812,700 938,200 15% 9,900 18,400 46%
Tessco Technologies 118,943 149,721 26% 1,241 2,907 134%
Transcat 19,992 21,823 9% 342 483 41%
Wayside Technology 40,030 42,292 6% 902 900 0%

Source: Tully & Holland